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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+2.13vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.14+5.20vs Predicted
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40.91+2.26vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.77-0.88vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.11-0.29vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.21+0.81vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.71-3.69vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.40+0.36vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-3.01vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-2.36vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.59-5.01vs Predicted
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13American University-1.97-1.00vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.53Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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8.2University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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6.260.910.1%1st Place
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4.12Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.71Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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7.81William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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4.31Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
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9.36Syracuse University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.99Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.64SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.99Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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12.0American University-1.970.0%1st Place
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10.93Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 24.0% | 21.3% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.5% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 14.3% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Brandl | 13.0% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 18.5% | 61.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 32.4% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.