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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Stanley Galloway 2.8% 2.6% 3.8% 4.5% 6.2% 7.9% 10.3% 12.2% 13.3% 13.9% 14.0% 7.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Leopold Brandl 11.5% 14.2% 15.9% 15.5% 13.0% 10.4% 7.8% 6.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.4% 2.1% 3.1% 5.3% 7.0% 8.3% 11.4% 11.1% 14.6% 14.5% 12.0% 6.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 25.6% 21.6% 16.1% 15.3% 9.7% 5.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 14.1% 15.9% 14.3% 14.0% 13.0% 12.6% 7.7% 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 20.3% 21.2% 17.2% 12.4% 10.4% 8.0% 6.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 9.1% 7.5% 9.9% 10.4% 10.9% 13.0% 11.9% 9.7% 9.2% 5.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 4.2% 7.0% 7.7% 10.9% 11.4% 16.5% 14.9% 12.4% 2.7% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 2.5% 4.4% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 7.1% 8.6% 13.5% 13.7% 14.4% 11.8% 6.5% 2.2% 0.0%
Owen Ward 7.0% 5.7% 8.4% 8.9% 12.4% 11.2% 12.9% 12.1% 8.6% 6.6% 4.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Alec Wyers 1.5% 1.0% 2.6% 2.8% 4.5% 5.5% 7.2% 8.6% 13.5% 13.8% 18.4% 15.0% 5.6% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.4% 2.1% 3.1% 5.3% 7.0% 8.3% 11.4% 11.1% 14.6% 14.5% 12.0% 6.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Elliot Tindall 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 5.2% 9.7% 13.2% 30.8% 25.9% 0.0%
Stephen Blair 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 3.2% 3.5% 7.4% 19.5% 59.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.