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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.14+7.02vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.71+2.33vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18+4.99vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-0.94vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.77-0.88vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11-2.56vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.11-1.40vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+0.53vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.21-1.12vs Predicted
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100.91-3.91vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.40-1.88vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.18-4.01vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-2.16vs Predicted
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14American University-1.97-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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4.33Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
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7.99Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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3.06Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.12Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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3.44Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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5.6Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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8.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.88William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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6.090.910.1%1st Place
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9.12Syracuse University-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.99Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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10.84Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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11.97American University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Galloway | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Brandl | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 25.6% | 21.6% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.3% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 30.8% | 25.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 19.5% | 59.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.