Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Stewart Gurnell 20.5% 18.7% 16.5% 14.8% 11.8% 9.3% 4.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 25.7% 22.9% 16.3% 13.7% 10.2% 6.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Leopold Brandl 12.4% 15.2% 14.9% 12.9% 13.3% 12.0% 9.0% 4.6% 3.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.3% 7.3% 7.2% 8.9% 12.8% 9.9% 12.8% 12.7% 10.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 8.4% 7.0% 10.3% 11.0% 11.0% 11.7% 12.8% 11.6% 7.6% 5.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 1.7% 2.0% 3.9% 4.5% 4.7% 5.3% 9.1% 9.2% 11.9% 17.3% 14.9% 11.7% 3.8% 0.0%
Aidan Young 4.3% 2.9% 4.0% 5.3% 5.6% 9.9% 9.4% 10.6% 13.7% 13.3% 11.6% 7.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 3.5% 3.5% 3.7% 4.5% 5.8% 8.2% 9.8% 15.0% 14.2% 12.8% 11.3% 5.7% 2.0% 0.0%
Aidan Young 4.3% 2.9% 4.0% 5.3% 5.6% 9.9% 9.4% 10.6% 13.7% 13.3% 11.6% 7.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Alec Wyers 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 4.3% 4.4% 6.1% 8.0% 10.7% 13.9% 18.9% 18.9% 6.5% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 4.4% 4.7% 8.7% 10.3% 12.5% 14.4% 12.7% 11.9% 8.0% 2.2% 0.0%
Elliot Tindall 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 4.1% 4.5% 6.7% 9.7% 16.8% 29.6% 20.6% 0.0%
Stephen Blair 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 4.1% 7.2% 15.9% 63.1% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 13.2% 14.0% 15.8% 15.4% 13.2% 10.6% 8.1% 5.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.