Race 11A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Valerio Palamara 14.2% 14.9% 16.2% 12.5% 14.2% 10.5% 9.2% 4.6% 1.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 25.1% 23.9% 15.6% 13.8% 9.9% 7.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 20.5% 17.6% 15.6% 16.4% 13.2% 6.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 6.6% 8.4% 9.5% 10.6% 12.1% 12.8% 11.6% 11.2% 9.4% 4.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 3.3% 3.7% 5.1% 4.8% 5.7% 8.1% 10.0% 11.9% 12.9% 14.2% 11.1% 8.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.9% 2.8% 5.0% 4.9% 5.7% 8.2% 9.1% 14.2% 12.8% 14.4% 11.3% 7.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Leopold Brandl 14.4% 13.2% 15.1% 14.5% 13.2% 10.3% 9.0% 6.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 2.4% 3.0% 2.6% 3.8% 4.5% 6.6% 7.2% 10.3% 14.3% 14.8% 16.0% 10.7% 3.8% 0.0%
Alec Wyers 1.8% 1.5% 3.1% 2.6% 3.6% 4.1% 6.7% 7.1% 12.1% 12.8% 19.5% 18.5% 6.6% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.9% 2.8% 5.0% 4.9% 5.7% 8.2% 9.1% 14.2% 12.8% 14.4% 11.3% 7.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 6.0% 4.5% 8.6% 10.3% 11.8% 13.3% 14.2% 11.4% 8.1% 2.3% 0.0%
Elliot Tindall 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 2.8% 3.7% 4.5% 6.3% 10.5% 16.3% 29.9% 20.9% 0.0%
Stephen Blair 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 4.6% 6.6% 15.9% 63.4% 0.0%
Owen Ward 4.8% 6.0% 8.4% 8.5% 11.0% 13.0% 13.0% 12.9% 10.2% 7.0% 4.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.