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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connor Mraz 26.3% 19.4% 18.8% 12.7% 10.7% 6.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Leopold Brandl 12.4% 15.1% 14.9% 14.6% 13.7% 9.3% 8.4% 7.0% 2.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 13.2% 15.5% 15.6% 14.0% 13.6% 11.0% 8.1% 4.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.6% 2.4% 4.5% 5.3% 6.1% 8.7% 10.3% 10.7% 13.0% 15.7% 12.3% 7.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 21.0% 19.4% 16.1% 13.2% 12.7% 7.3% 5.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.6% 2.4% 4.5% 5.3% 6.1% 8.7% 10.3% 10.7% 13.0% 15.7% 12.3% 7.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 2.7% 3.3% 4.0% 5.4% 5.4% 8.8% 7.9% 13.2% 13.5% 14.1% 11.8% 8.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.0% 3.8% 3.7% 5.4% 6.0% 7.9% 9.1% 11.8% 14.1% 14.6% 12.8% 5.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.8% 9.4% 6.3% 9.4% 8.8% 13.8% 14.7% 10.7% 9.9% 6.1% 3.0% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 8.2% 6.0% 9.7% 11.0% 11.9% 11.6% 13.7% 10.8% 8.6% 4.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Alec Wyers 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 4.4% 4.7% 6.6% 7.5% 10.8% 15.4% 19.3% 15.6% 7.2% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 4.6% 4.5% 7.2% 8.2% 11.8% 14.2% 13.8% 15.4% 10.4% 3.0% 0.0%
Elliot Tindall 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 2.5% 3.3% 5.6% 5.6% 8.1% 13.9% 30.5% 25.5% 0.0%
Stephen Blair 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 2.0% 2.6% 4.2% 7.5% 19.3% 60.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.