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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+2.09vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.71+2.30vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+1.16vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18+3.94vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.11-1.52vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.18+1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14+0.96vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.21-0.24vs Predicted
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90.91-2.95vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.11-4.28vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.40-1.76vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-3.50vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-2.18vs Predicted
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14American University-1.97-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.3Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.16Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.94Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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3.48Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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7.94Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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7.76William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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6.050.910.1%1st Place
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5.72Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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9.24Syracuse University-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.82Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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11.99American University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 26.3% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Brandl | 12.4% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 13.2% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 21.0% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 30.5% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 19.3% | 60.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.