Race 14A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connor Mraz 25.4% 21.1% 17.7% 13.6% 10.4% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 7.5% 6.8% 9.1% 11.3% 12.4% 12.9% 13.2% 10.8% 8.2% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 3.0% 2.2% 2.9% 5.8% 6.4% 8.3% 10.6% 12.4% 13.9% 15.4% 11.8% 6.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 3.6% 4.6% 7.0% 8.2% 11.3% 13.4% 13.7% 17.2% 10.8% 3.4% 0.0%
Leopold Brandl 13.8% 15.3% 13.7% 14.2% 12.7% 11.6% 8.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 15.0% 14.5% 15.7% 13.2% 14.1% 10.5% 6.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 6.1% 7.7% 9.9% 10.8% 12.7% 16.0% 11.9% 7.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 18.8% 21.0% 16.3% 14.0% 14.0% 7.3% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alec Wyers 1.7% 1.9% 3.6% 2.4% 2.9% 4.6% 5.9% 8.6% 11.7% 13.7% 18.7% 18.9% 5.4% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.9% 3.5% 4.9% 4.0% 5.3% 7.4% 12.0% 11.4% 13.6% 14.6% 11.8% 5.4% 3.2% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.3% 6.9% 8.5% 11.2% 9.4% 13.4% 13.0% 12.8% 8.4% 6.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.9% 3.5% 4.9% 4.0% 5.3% 7.4% 12.0% 11.4% 13.6% 14.6% 11.8% 5.4% 3.2% 0.0%
Elliot Tindall 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 2.0% 1.1% 2.2% 3.0% 5.0% 7.2% 8.2% 15.1% 29.7% 24.8% 0.0%
Stephen Blair 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 4.8% 7.0% 19.4% 60.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.