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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+3.84vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+3.71vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08+1.19vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.78+0.89vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.68+0.11vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.02-1.73vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.29vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-1.04+1.51vs Predicted
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9American University-0.06-1.81vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.26-2.32vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-0.08-4.00vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-2.13-0.33vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.47-7.29vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.71Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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4.19Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.89Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.11William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
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4.27Washington College1.020.2%1st Place
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8.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.51Columbia University-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.19American University-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.68Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.0Villanova University-0.080.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
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5.71Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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10.63Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 15.9% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 12.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heim | 15.2% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ava Rotondo | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 21.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 17.6% | 55.7% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 26.8% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.