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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+3.83vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+6.38vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47+2.71vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.78+0.88vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.08-0.90vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.02-1.73vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-0.08+0.10vs Predicted
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8American University-0.06-0.88vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.26-1.29vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-1.04-0.46vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-0.63vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-2.13-0.29vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.47-7.29vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.68-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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8.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.71Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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4.88Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.1Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.27Washington College1.020.2%1st Place
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7.1Villanova University-0.080.1%1st Place
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7.12American University-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.71Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.54Columbia University-1.040.0%1st Place
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10.37Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
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5.71Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.28William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 17.6% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heim | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Rotondo | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 25.8% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 16.3% | 57.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.