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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+8.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.88vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73+5.23vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+6.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.60+3.49vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.15+0.59vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+2.57vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.88vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03+3.28vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32+1.93vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.82-0.14vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.40-3.15vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.58-3.23vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.38-4.91vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.18-8.96vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-4.57vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.28-6.90vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.59College of Charleston2.495.0%1st Place
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6.88Yale University2.739.7%1st Place
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8.23Brown University2.736.2%1st Place
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10.03University of Rhode Island2.783.6%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy2.607.2%1st Place
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6.59Stanford University3.1511.0%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University2.224.2%1st Place
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9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.2%1st Place
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12.28Bowdoin College2.032.8%1st Place
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11.93University of Miami2.323.1%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University1.823.7%1st Place
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8.85Georgetown University2.406.3%1st Place
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9.77Boston College2.584.5%1st Place
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9.09Dartmouth College2.386.2%1st Place
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6.04Harvard University3.1810.8%1st Place
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11.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.1%1st Place
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10.1Tulane University2.283.9%1st Place
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11.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.313.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Guthrie Braun | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 17.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| Peter Busch | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| William Michels | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.