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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.02+3.30vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.78+2.92vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81+1.88vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.47+1.71vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47+0.71vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08-1.88vs Predicted
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7American University-0.06+0.08vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.26-0.42vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.60vs Predicted
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10Villanova University-0.08-2.76vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-0.52vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.99-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.13-1.33vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.68-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Washington College1.020.2%1st Place
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4.92Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.88Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.71Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.71Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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4.12Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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7.08American University-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.58Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.4SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.24Villanova University-0.080.1%1st Place
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10.48Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.34Columbia University-0.990.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
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5.26William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Heim | 15.7% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 17.7% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 26.7% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Chen | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 19.0% | 55.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.