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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.78+3.88vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+2.87vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08+1.17vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.47+1.71vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47+0.71vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.02-1.71vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.36vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.68-2.93vs Predicted
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9American University-0.06-1.88vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.26-2.25vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-0.55vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-0.08-5.02vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.99-3.35vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-2.13-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.87Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.17Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.71Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.71Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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4.29Washington College1.020.2%1st Place
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8.36SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.07William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
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7.12American University-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.75Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.45Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.98Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.65Columbia University-0.990.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hayes | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 15.7% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heim | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 27.3% | 23.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Chen | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 20.2% | 21.2% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 20.3% | 54.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.