← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.47+4.42vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech0.47+3.42vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University1.08+1.01vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary0.68+0.94vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+3.06vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.78-1.31vs Predicted
-
7Washington College1.02-2.93vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University-0.26-0.77vs Predicted
-
9Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47+1.10vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University-1.04-0.74vs Predicted
-
11Villanova University-0.08-4.17vs Predicted
-
12American University-1.59-1.73vs Predicted
-
13University of Pittsburgh-2.13-1.59vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University0.81-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.42Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
-
5.42Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
-
4.01Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
-
4.94William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
-
8.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
4.69Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
-
4.07Washington College1.020.2%1st Place
-
7.23Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
-
10.1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
-
9.26Columbia University-1.040.0%1st Place
-
6.83Villanova University-0.080.1%1st Place
-
10.27American University-1.590.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
-
4.68Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 17.4% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heim | 17.3% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 22.5% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Rotondo | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lydia LoPiccolo | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 21.0% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 48.6% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 12.0% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.