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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+4.41vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+3.41vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.02+1.11vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.78+0.66vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.26+2.38vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.68-1.12vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.02vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.08-4.04vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-0.08-2.25vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.81-5.33vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-0.86vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-1.04-2.90vs Predicted
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13American University-1.59-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-2.13-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.41Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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4.11Washington College1.020.2%1st Place
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4.66Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.38Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.88William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
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8.02SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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3.96Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.75Villanova University-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.67Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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10.14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.1Columbia University-1.040.0%1st Place
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10.46American University-1.590.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heim | 16.5% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 18.6% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Rotondo | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Lydia LoPiccolo | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 23.9% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 12.6% | 20.9% | 46.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.