← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University-0.26+6.34vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.78+2.65vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University-0.08+3.90vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University1.08-0.05vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University0.81-0.46vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech0.47-0.59vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary0.68-2.14vs Predicted
-
8Washington College1.02-3.91vs Predicted
-
9Virginia Tech0.47-3.59vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University-1.04-0.77vs Predicted
-
11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-0.84vs Predicted
-
12American University-1.59-1.74vs Predicted
-
13University of Pittsburgh-2.13-1.63vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.34Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
-
4.65Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
-
6.9Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
3.95Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
-
4.54Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
-
5.41Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
-
4.86William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
-
4.09Washington College1.020.2%1st Place
-
5.41Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
-
9.23Columbia University-1.040.0%1st Place
-
10.16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
-
10.26American University-1.590.0%1st Place
-
11.37University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
-
8.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 17.4% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 15.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heim | 15.5% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Rotondo | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 22.0% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Lydia LoPiccolo | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 46.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.