Race 1A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Olivia de Olazarra 20.6% 20.4% 16.6% 10.4% 10.8% 8.0% 5.3% 4.0% 1.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Brooke Shachoy 12.3% 12.4% 11.9% 12.5% 10.3% 11.5% 9.2% 8.3% 5.4% 3.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 17.1% 14.8% 14.2% 14.0% 11.2% 8.7% 8.1% 5.5% 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 9.1% 11.1% 11.2% 11.2% 10.9% 11.8% 10.8% 7.7% 7.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 5.7% 7.3% 7.5% 10.0% 9.1% 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.7% 8.1% 6.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4%
Clara Guarascio 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 6.4% 8.4% 13.8% 18.1% 15.9% 11.2% 5.3%
Bridget Groble 10.7% 9.5% 9.3% 8.9% 11.1% 10.7% 9.9% 10.6% 8.8% 5.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 7.8% 9.1% 8.6% 8.3% 10.8% 9.7% 10.8% 8.6% 9.3% 7.4% 5.9% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 5.9% 5.3% 6.1% 8.5% 7.9% 8.4% 10.8% 13.1% 10.9% 10.7% 7.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Payton Canavan 5.0% 4.6% 5.6% 8.0% 7.8% 9.1% 9.3% 10.1% 12.5% 11.5% 9.2% 5.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Hannah Mercurio 0.8% 0.6% 1.7% 1.2% 1.0% 1.9% 2.0% 3.7% 4.5% 6.8% 10.9% 20.6% 24.7% 19.6%
Kennedy Jones 1.6% 1.7% 3.2% 2.7% 3.7% 3.4% 5.2% 6.8% 10.1% 13.6% 17.5% 14.6% 11.5% 4.4%
Maren Behnke 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 4.0% 4.9% 8.8% 15.4% 25.9% 31.4%
Bracklinn Williams 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 2.8% 2.3% 5.8% 8.1% 15.4% 21.6% 37.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.