Race 2A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 16.1% 17.0% 14.7% 12.1% 10.5% 9.9% 7.2% 4.4% 4.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 10.9% 11.0% 12.5% 11.4% 11.0% 10.7% 10.1% 8.5% 6.8% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 21.2% 18.6% 15.8% 13.1% 10.0% 7.5% 7.2% 3.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brooke Shachoy 9.8% 13.4% 10.1% 11.6% 11.8% 11.4% 10.6% 7.3% 6.9% 4.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 1.9% 1.3% 3.4% 2.4% 3.4% 4.1% 5.7% 6.6% 8.4% 11.7% 17.5% 16.3% 12.2% 5.1%
Emma AuBuchon 7.3% 6.3% 7.8% 9.7% 9.1% 10.6% 10.2% 10.7% 9.1% 9.3% 6.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 8.8% 9.0% 8.2% 9.5% 10.5% 10.6% 9.3% 11.3% 9.6% 6.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Bridget Groble 8.9% 9.7% 9.1% 10.3% 10.3% 8.9% 9.6% 10.7% 7.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 6.3% 5.0% 6.6% 6.8% 9.0% 8.7% 10.1% 12.2% 11.9% 10.4% 8.1% 3.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Payton Canavan 5.2% 4.8% 5.7% 7.6% 7.7% 9.3% 8.9% 10.7% 11.9% 10.5% 10.3% 5.2% 1.4% 0.8%
Hannah Mercurio 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 2.1% 1.3% 2.0% 3.3% 5.1% 7.5% 10.2% 20.3% 24.6% 20.0%
Kennedy Jones 1.6% 1.3% 3.4% 3.1% 3.1% 3.8% 5.7% 6.2% 9.7% 14.2% 18.0% 15.1% 10.1% 4.7%
Maren Behnke 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 3.3% 6.0% 8.5% 14.8% 26.0% 31.4%
Bracklinn Williams 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 5.4% 7.7% 15.9% 21.8% 37.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.