Race 3A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma AuBuchon 7.0% 7.1% 9.7% 9.3% 9.8% 9.6% 10.6% 9.8% 9.1% 8.6% 5.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Brooke Shachoy 12.0% 13.0% 11.7% 11.2% 10.9% 11.5% 9.5% 7.5% 7.0% 2.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 7.6% 8.4% 8.6% 8.4% 8.9% 10.1% 11.6% 10.6% 10.4% 7.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Bridget Groble 7.5% 8.6% 10.3% 10.2% 8.7% 12.5% 10.0% 8.4% 9.8% 8.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 14.4% 16.0% 13.8% 14.0% 11.8% 9.7% 7.6% 6.2% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 5.2% 5.3% 7.5% 7.4% 8.5% 8.6% 9.9% 11.0% 11.9% 10.8% 8.1% 4.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Amanda Majernik 11.4% 13.0% 10.6% 11.5% 12.6% 8.8% 9.4% 7.9% 7.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 6.4% 5.7% 6.3% 7.1% 7.7% 7.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.6% 10.6% 8.5% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Hannah Mercurio 0.9% 1.9% 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 4.3% 5.9% 10.9% 21.3% 24.8% 20.1%
Kennedy Jones 2.4% 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 4.9% 5.2% 8.2% 9.3% 13.1% 15.6% 16.7% 11.3% 4.8%
Olivia de Olazarra 21.8% 16.0% 15.2% 12.5% 12.0% 8.8% 5.9% 4.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 1.9% 2.3% 2.0% 2.7% 3.3% 4.2% 5.0% 7.9% 7.4% 14.9% 17.7% 14.4% 11.4% 4.9%
Maren Behnke 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 5.3% 11.0% 14.7% 24.9% 31.8%
Bracklinn Williams 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 0.9% 1.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.4% 8.3% 15.0% 22.6% 37.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.