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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+4.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.59vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+1.86vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55-0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.60vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.11vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.51+1.45vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-2.08vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.49-0.24vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.44-3.84vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.31-0.59vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.78-0.86vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.67-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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3.59U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.86Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.31Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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9.45Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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6.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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9.76SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.14Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.96Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 23.2% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.8% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 4.6% |
| Camille McGriff | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Payton Canavan | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 21.4% | 21.9% | 20.3% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 22.6% | 38.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 26.7% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.