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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+4.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.13vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.19vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20+0.20vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.22vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.44-0.12vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.38vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-2.11vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.49-0.26vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.31+0.48vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.51-2.42vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.67-1.04vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.78-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.2Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.88Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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9.74SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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9.58Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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11.96Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.16Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.4% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Payton Canavan | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 22.6% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille McGriff | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 5.2% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 25.0% | 20.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 26.1% | 31.3% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 23.0% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.