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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+5.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.61vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.24vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.49+4.76vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+0.16vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.20-2.03vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91-2.07vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.44-1.75vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.68vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.51-1.27vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.31-0.59vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.67-1.05vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.78-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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3.61U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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4.26Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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9.76SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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6.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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4.97Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.93Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.25Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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6.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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9.73Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.95Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.18Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 20.6% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 16.3% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 5.2% |
| Ella Withington | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Payton Canavan | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 4.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 20.4% | 22.3% | 19.9% |
| Maren Behnke | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 24.5% | 32.5% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 24.5% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.