Race 8A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brooke Shachoy 11.9% 12.1% 10.8% 11.6% 11.1% 11.2% 8.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 9.0% 9.5% 9.2% 10.1% 9.9% 9.5% 10.6% 11.0% 9.6% 6.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Ella Withington 8.1% 9.4% 8.3% 8.0% 8.7% 11.5% 10.1% 9.9% 11.7% 8.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.3%
Amanda Majernik 8.8% 10.9% 10.6% 11.3% 10.3% 10.5% 11.0% 8.4% 8.4% 5.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 14.1% 15.2% 15.0% 12.6% 11.9% 9.0% 8.1% 6.9% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 5.2% 5.0% 5.2% 7.3% 7.6% 9.0% 8.3% 10.4% 11.6% 12.4% 11.0% 4.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Katherine Bennett 8.6% 8.4% 8.8% 10.0% 8.9% 11.8% 9.7% 9.7% 9.5% 7.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 8.1% 7.4% 8.7% 8.0% 9.6% 8.9% 9.4% 10.4% 10.0% 8.8% 6.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 19.7% 16.7% 15.8% 13.2% 12.2% 6.9% 7.1% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.8% 4.0% 6.9% 6.4% 8.5% 13.0% 17.7% 16.4% 11.2% 5.1%
Hannah Mercurio 0.8% 0.7% 1.6% 1.2% 1.6% 0.9% 1.4% 3.8% 4.7% 7.3% 10.8% 19.7% 25.7% 19.8%
Bracklinn Williams 0.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 4.4% 8.8% 14.8% 22.8% 39.1%
Maren Behnke 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 4.1% 9.4% 16.4% 25.4% 32.1%
Clara Guarascio 2.1% 1.7% 3.0% 3.1% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 7.6% 7.8% 13.2% 17.9% 17.9% 10.0% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.