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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+4.85vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+3.01vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+1.21vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.44+3.21vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11+0.50vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+0.18vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-1.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-5.25vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-0.31+1.46vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.51-1.31vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.78+0.28vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.67-1.02vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.49-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.01Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.21Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.21Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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6.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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11.46University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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9.69Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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12.28Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.98Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.54SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.6% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Majernik | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Withington | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 19.8% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 24.3% | 20.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 11.4% | 4.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 23.1% | 39.5% |
| Maren Behnke | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 26.2% | 32.3% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.