Race 10A

maisa-spring-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Amanda Majernik 10.4% 11.1% 11.0% 11.3% 10.7% 10.3% 9.1% 9.0% 7.0% 5.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 17.2% 15.5% 14.9% 11.2% 11.2% 11.5% 7.6% 4.8% 3.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 21.6% 19.1% 12.6% 13.7% 10.1% 9.1% 6.0% 4.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 5.8% 8.2% 9.2% 9.4% 8.9% 10.1% 11.8% 9.0% 11.3% 8.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Brooke Shachoy 9.2% 10.3% 13.4% 10.8% 10.7% 11.5% 10.3% 8.9% 6.8% 4.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 7.7% 8.6% 7.6% 9.7% 11.3% 9.0% 11.4% 10.5% 9.1% 7.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ella Withington 8.9% 8.7% 9.5% 9.6% 10.2% 8.9% 11.2% 11.0% 9.3% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 6.1% 4.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.2% 8.3% 8.8% 10.7% 12.4% 10.4% 9.5% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Kennedy Jones 2.5% 2.0% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 9.8% 15.6% 16.9% 15.7% 12.7% 3.8%
Hannah Mercurio 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 4.7% 7.9% 12.8% 18.1% 24.9% 20.8%
Emma AuBuchon 6.7% 7.2% 7.4% 8.9% 10.1% 9.6% 9.0% 10.9% 12.0% 8.6% 5.4% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Bracklinn Williams 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 1.1% 0.9% 2.7% 1.6% 4.5% 8.7% 14.8% 22.0% 40.0%
Maren Behnke 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 3.2% 4.4% 9.2% 14.6% 26.7% 32.2%
Clara Guarascio 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 4.5% 6.3% 7.7% 8.2% 12.9% 16.5% 18.9% 10.1% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.