Race 11A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brooke Shachoy 9.1% 14.6% 12.7% 11.3% 11.6% 11.0% 7.0% 8.6% 5.9% 4.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 11.0% 9.9% 13.8% 10.3% 9.8% 11.8% 10.4% 8.3% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Ella Withington 8.9% 8.2% 8.7% 9.3% 9.0% 10.1% 8.9% 11.3% 11.0% 6.5% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3%
Piper Holthus 14.5% 16.9% 14.0% 12.7% 11.2% 9.0% 8.5% 6.5% 3.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 4.1% 4.5% 7.0% 7.8% 7.7% 8.0% 8.9% 10.8% 11.4% 13.0% 9.3% 5.3% 1.6% 0.6%
Katherine Bennett 8.1% 5.7% 7.6% 9.5% 11.1% 8.9% 10.8% 9.5% 10.3% 9.3% 5.4% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Hannah Mercurio 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 1.2% 1.8% 3.3% 3.0% 5.0% 8.0% 12.0% 18.0% 25.4% 17.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 21.6% 19.7% 13.8% 11.5% 10.1% 8.1% 6.9% 4.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 7.3% 7.1% 7.1% 8.3% 8.9% 10.2% 10.1% 11.1% 10.9% 10.1% 5.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.2% 2.3% 1.5% 2.1% 3.1% 4.2% 6.6% 5.6% 8.8% 12.7% 16.4% 18.0% 11.5% 5.0%
Bridget Groble 9.1% 6.8% 8.3% 10.3% 12.0% 9.8% 9.5% 10.5% 10.2% 5.7% 5.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Bracklinn Williams 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 1.3% 1.0% 3.2% 5.0% 7.2% 14.3% 22.5% 40.6%
Maren Behnke 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 5.4% 7.9% 16.3% 25.5% 32.4%
Clara Guarascio 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 2.5% 3.8% 6.4% 7.0% 7.8% 12.1% 19.4% 16.8% 10.1% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.