Race 12A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Amanda Majernik 10.0% 11.1% 11.2% 10.7% 11.1% 11.3% 9.5% 8.3% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 8.6% 10.5% 9.5% 9.8% 8.5% 10.0% 10.6% 11.9% 9.7% 5.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Payton Canavan 5.7% 5.9% 6.1% 7.0% 6.3% 8.8% 7.7% 11.0% 12.7% 12.9% 9.3% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Katherine Bennett 6.0% 8.2% 9.7% 9.4% 9.4% 8.6% 11.3% 11.5% 9.1% 8.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Brooke Shachoy 9.8% 11.5% 11.4% 11.2% 11.8% 9.6% 10.5% 8.6% 7.1% 5.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 15.5% 13.4% 14.0% 13.8% 12.9% 8.7% 7.2% 5.8% 4.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 7.5% 9.5% 8.0% 8.8% 9.2% 9.9% 10.8% 9.8% 11.0% 7.3% 5.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 22.9% 16.7% 14.8% 11.5% 9.6% 9.4% 6.7% 4.3% 2.3% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Withington 8.1% 7.3% 7.5% 9.9% 10.7% 10.5% 9.8% 9.8% 11.3% 8.4% 4.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 2.2% 1.6% 2.4% 2.0% 3.2% 4.5% 5.9% 6.3% 8.4% 13.1% 17.0% 17.0% 11.3% 5.1%
Hannah Mercurio 0.3% 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.9% 4.4% 7.5% 12.3% 18.4% 26.0% 19.8%
Bracklinn Williams 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.8% 1.6% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.7% 4.0% 8.4% 15.1% 22.9% 39.1%
Maren Behnke 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 2.4% 4.0% 9.8% 16.2% 25.4% 32.2%
Clara Guarascio 2.0% 1.4% 3.3% 2.6% 4.0% 4.8% 4.7% 5.8% 8.2% 13.7% 17.9% 18.4% 9.9% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.