Race 14A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 16.2% 16.3% 14.1% 12.8% 12.0% 8.1% 7.6% 4.5% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 7.4% 9.1% 9.5% 9.4% 9.1% 9.5% 10.4% 12.4% 9.6% 7.2% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Payton Canavan 6.2% 5.8% 5.4% 7.6% 7.4% 6.8% 8.9% 11.6% 12.7% 11.9% 9.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.3%
Amanda Majernik 9.1% 10.9% 11.4% 11.4% 9.1% 13.1% 8.9% 8.8% 7.7% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 6.9% 7.6% 10.0% 10.7% 9.3% 9.6% 10.8% 9.9% 10.3% 7.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Brooke Shachoy 10.3% 9.6% 12.4% 11.2% 12.6% 9.7% 10.7% 7.7% 7.3% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 22.0% 18.9% 14.8% 11.9% 12.0% 8.5% 4.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Withington 8.5% 8.7% 9.0% 8.2% 9.2% 10.6% 11.5% 9.2% 8.3% 8.6% 5.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 7.2% 6.7% 6.5% 8.1% 9.2% 12.3% 10.0% 12.1% 10.6% 9.0% 4.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Hannah Mercurio 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 5.0% 7.6% 11.8% 19.9% 24.3% 20.4%
Kennedy Jones 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 4.4% 5.2% 8.1% 6.9% 13.4% 16.4% 19.0% 11.1% 4.2%
Bracklinn Williams 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 1.7% 2.8% 3.7% 9.8% 13.8% 23.1% 39.3%
Maren Behnke 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 3.2% 4.6% 9.0% 14.6% 26.2% 32.4%
Clara Guarascio 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.3% 3.7% 6.3% 6.9% 8.5% 11.4% 18.8% 18.3% 10.0% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.