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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.91vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+1.35vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.73+2.81vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.77vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.01+4.21vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28-0.24vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.69-2.15vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.23vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-3.75vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.61+0.37vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.55-0.78vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-1.93+0.09vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.09-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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3.35Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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5.81George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.21SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.76Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.85Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.25Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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11.37Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.09Syracuse University-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.17Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 11.4% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 24.6% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 13.6% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 14.5% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 29.0% | 12.2% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 21.6% | 24.9% | 12.5% |
| Erin Splaine | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 66.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 21.0% | 13.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.