Race 9A

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Shapiro 21.5% 20.0% 17.6% 13.9% 11.1% 8.0% 4.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Mariel Marchand 18.2% 18.6% 14.3% 14.5% 10.2% 10.2% 7.2% 4.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Carolyn Naughton 15.7% 15.6% 16.0% 14.2% 12.8% 11.3% 7.2% 3.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Viktor Wettergren 8.4% 9.0% 8.3% 10.1% 14.0% 13.7% 11.2% 10.4% 9.2% 4.1% 1.6%
Neil Forrester 4.8% 4.1% 5.9% 7.0% 6.4% 8.9% 11.3% 12.8% 15.3% 15.0% 8.5%
Ames Lyman 3.7% 4.1% 5.9% 5.5% 7.4% 8.5% 11.6% 12.7% 14.7% 15.4% 10.5%
Bradley Abbott 10.4% 10.6% 9.2% 12.4% 11.1% 11.4% 11.1% 10.6% 6.9% 5.0% 1.3%
Alejandro Bancalari 8.6% 8.3% 9.9% 10.4% 11.6% 11.8% 10.1% 11.0% 8.7% 7.6% 2.0%
Tyler Durant 2.5% 2.4% 4.2% 2.5% 3.5% 5.3% 7.4% 11.2% 14.6% 22.6% 23.8%
Carolyn Marsh 1.5% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 4.9% 7.0% 11.4% 16.6% 46.7%
Benjmain Berg 4.7% 6.0% 6.7% 7.1% 9.0% 7.6% 13.3% 14.3% 13.9% 12.0% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.