← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.95vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.28+4.88vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.16vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.69-0.45vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.23vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University1.69+0.12vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.39vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.73-2.11vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.57-2.60vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia0.32-0.30vs Predicted
-
11Washington College-0.61+0.58vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-0.09-1.48vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University-1.93+0.18vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-0.01-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.95University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
6.88Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
4.16U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
-
3.55Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
-
7.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
-
6.12Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
4.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
5.89George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
-
6.4Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
9.7University of Virginia0.320.0%1st Place
-
11.58Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
-
10.52Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
13.18Syracuse University-1.930.0%1st Place
-
10.24SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 17.8% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 20.5% | 21.1% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 14.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Sullivan | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 2.5% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 34.9% | 14.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 18.3% | 6.4% |
| Erin Splaine | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 13.8% | 70.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 23.2% | 16.0% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.