Race 12B

maisa-spring-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Heather Kerns 4.8% 5.0% 7.1% 7.4% 9.1% 7.6% 10.6% 10.5% 13.0% 10.6% 6.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.1%
Morgan Sailer 7.8% 10.2% 7.9% 10.6% 9.0% 10.9% 11.3% 11.1% 9.0% 5.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Madison Bashaw 13.1% 11.5% 13.0% 12.4% 10.7% 11.4% 8.7% 8.4% 5.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.7% 5.1% 6.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.3% 10.3% 9.7% 12.7% 12.6% 8.5% 4.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Bridget Green 19.6% 20.7% 13.8% 13.6% 10.2% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eva Blauvelt 17.1% 12.9% 13.0% 15.4% 10.6% 10.0% 6.7% 7.0% 3.8% 2.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Chiara Perotti Correa 9.0% 9.5% 10.1% 8.2% 11.3% 10.9% 11.1% 9.6% 9.9% 6.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.6% 7.4% 9.0% 6.5% 8.6% 10.9% 11.5% 11.2% 8.7% 9.6% 5.7% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Emma Sullivan 2.8% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 5.8% 8.6% 14.9% 18.7% 17.2% 10.7% 3.4%
Carly Mraz 1.7% 0.9% 1.8% 1.5% 1.3% 2.3% 3.4% 5.3% 7.8% 9.6% 16.5% 20.7% 21.1% 6.1%
Hartley Meyer 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 2.8% 4.1% 7.6% 11.0% 18.0% 33.8% 15.1%
Sofia Segalla 10.1% 11.7% 12.7% 10.4% 13.7% 9.3% 10.0% 8.7% 7.4% 3.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Erin Splaine 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 2.7% 3.4% 5.9% 13.8% 70.1%
Morgan Essex 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.2% 3.7% 6.4% 7.0% 10.8% 17.1% 22.4% 15.4% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.