Race 10A

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bradley Abbott 6.4% 10.0% 9.4% 11.3% 11.5% 13.4% 12.4% 11.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5%
Mariel Marchand 18.9% 18.8% 15.9% 12.4% 11.0% 9.6% 6.2% 4.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Carolyn Naughton 16.5% 16.6% 15.9% 14.3% 11.9% 9.4% 8.1% 4.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Matthew Shapiro 22.3% 18.7% 17.6% 14.7% 11.0% 6.7% 4.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 9.6% 9.7% 10.5% 11.1% 9.9% 12.0% 12.5% 9.7% 8.4% 5.4% 1.2%
Alejandro Bancalari 7.1% 9.4% 8.8% 10.8% 10.0% 12.6% 11.8% 9.7% 9.0% 8.2% 2.6%
Neil Forrester 5.5% 4.2% 5.8% 6.6% 8.5% 9.1% 10.6% 15.6% 13.0% 13.2% 7.9%
Benjmain Berg 5.5% 4.6% 5.4% 8.0% 10.5% 9.6% 10.8% 12.3% 13.5% 13.5% 6.3%
Ames Lyman 4.4% 3.9% 5.4% 5.7% 6.4% 8.1% 12.2% 12.6% 16.1% 15.1% 10.1%
Tyler Durant 2.6% 2.5% 3.7% 2.7% 5.6% 5.6% 6.8% 10.5% 15.0% 21.6% 23.4%
Carolyn Marsh 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.4% 3.7% 3.9% 4.2% 6.5% 11.3% 16.7% 46.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.