Race 11A

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Shapiro 19.2% 19.2% 15.5% 12.6% 13.3% 8.7% 6.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 8.9% 7.7% 10.4% 9.3% 10.9% 12.0% 12.6% 12.4% 8.7% 5.7% 1.4%
Carolyn Naughton 15.4% 14.4% 13.6% 14.4% 13.1% 10.1% 8.7% 5.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Luke O'Connor 11.7% 12.2% 10.0% 13.5% 12.7% 12.5% 10.6% 8.5% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
Neil Forrester 4.0% 4.5% 5.1% 6.0% 5.7% 8.7% 10.9% 10.2% 17.2% 18.5% 9.2%
Mariel Marchand 16.3% 15.9% 15.4% 13.5% 11.6% 8.8% 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 2.0% 0.1%
Benjmain Berg 5.1% 5.1% 6.1% 5.6% 5.9% 10.0% 11.9% 13.4% 14.4% 14.3% 8.2%
Alejandro Bancalari 7.4% 7.1% 9.5% 10.4% 10.2% 10.1% 10.9% 12.6% 12.0% 8.0% 1.8%
Carolyn Marsh 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 2.7% 2.4% 3.0% 6.0% 9.3% 16.5% 53.9%
Bradley Abbott 8.8% 9.8% 9.0% 9.9% 10.0% 10.8% 12.5% 12.3% 9.4% 5.5% 2.0%
Tyler Durant 1.8% 2.6% 3.8% 3.1% 3.9% 5.9% 6.9% 9.7% 13.9% 25.8% 22.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.