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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.87vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.54vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.59+0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Maine Maritime Academy0.770.5%1st Place
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2.54Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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3.23Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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2.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 46.8% | 28.8% | 16.5% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 21.9% | 30.0% | 24.6% | 19.5% | 4.0% |
| Colby Green | 12.4% | 14.9% | 24.0% | 34.5% | 14.2% |
| Kate Myler | 16.0% | 20.6% | 27.0% | 25.9% | 10.5% |
| Jack Sullivan | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 69.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.