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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.06+1.60vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.15vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.59+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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1.85Maine Maritime Academy0.770.5%1st Place
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3.21Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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2.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Hyde | 23.8% | 25.1% | 26.4% | 16.8% | 7.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 47.6% | 28.4% | 16.2% | 7.2% | 0.6% |
| Colby Green | 12.0% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 34.2% | 13.7% |
| Kate Myler | 14.0% | 23.8% | 25.8% | 27.3% | 9.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 2.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.