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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.87vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.59+1.25vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Maine Maritime Academy0.770.5%1st Place
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3.25Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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2.53Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.2%1st Place
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4.41University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 47.7% | 27.4% | 16.6% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Colby Green | 10.5% | 17.2% | 24.2% | 33.1% | 15.0% |
| Nathan Hyde | 23.0% | 28.5% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 4.0% |
| Kate Myler | 15.8% | 21.1% | 26.3% | 26.6% | 10.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.