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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.06+1.19vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.38vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44+0.35vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.59-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Maine Maritime Academy0.060.3%1st Place
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1.62Maine Maritime Academy0.770.5%1st Place
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4.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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4.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
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2.78Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Hyde | 27.3% | 37.0% | 26.8% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 54.4% | 32.2% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 2.6% | 4.7% | 13.7% | 40.8% | 38.2% |
| Carissa Keung | 2.1% | 3.2% | 9.0% | 29.3% | 56.4% |
| Colby Green | 13.6% | 22.9% | 39.6% | 19.8% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.