Race 12A

central-series-4

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Viktor Wettergren 6.3% 8.9% 10.2% 9.2% 10.0% 12.8% 13.8% 12.6% 9.3% 4.9% 2.0%
Matthew Shapiro 21.8% 16.7% 17.3% 13.3% 11.3% 8.8% 5.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Bradley Abbott 7.1% 9.1% 6.4% 10.3% 11.9% 11.5% 12.5% 12.4% 10.9% 6.5% 1.4%
Tyler Durant 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 3.4% 2.8% 5.3% 6.0% 7.3% 13.7% 28.1% 27.0%
Carolyn Naughton 16.6% 15.6% 14.2% 13.2% 13.0% 9.1% 8.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Mariel Marchand 15.9% 15.1% 15.0% 14.3% 12.2% 9.0% 8.6% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Neil Forrester 4.8% 5.0% 4.3% 7.0% 5.9% 9.4% 9.5% 11.5% 17.3% 17.0% 8.3%
Alejandro Bancalari 7.3% 6.5% 9.7% 9.3% 10.4% 12.4% 11.4% 12.7% 11.5% 6.8% 2.0%
Carolyn Marsh 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.7% 2.3% 4.4% 5.1% 10.7% 17.3% 51.3%
Luke O'Connor 13.0% 14.2% 13.2% 11.2% 13.2% 10.3% 10.0% 8.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
Benjmain Berg 4.5% 5.5% 5.1% 6.9% 6.6% 9.1% 10.6% 14.4% 15.5% 14.7% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.