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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.63vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.20vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44+0.35vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.59-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Maine Maritime Academy0.770.6%1st Place
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2.2Maine Maritime Academy0.060.3%1st Place
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4.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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4.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
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2.76Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 56.0% | 27.9% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 25.9% | 38.0% | 27.0% | 8.3% | 0.8% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 2.8% | 5.8% | 12.4% | 40.9% | 38.1% |
| Carissa Keung | 1.7% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 29.1% | 56.8% |
| Colby Green | 13.6% | 24.2% | 39.2% | 18.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.