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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.83vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44+0.65vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.59-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Maine Maritime Academy0.770.5%1st Place
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2.5Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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2.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.2%1st Place
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4.65University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
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3.16Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 48.8% | 27.8% | 15.8% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Hyde | 22.1% | 30.3% | 26.1% | 19.0% | 2.5% |
| Kate Myler | 16.0% | 20.9% | 30.4% | 26.4% | 6.3% |
| Carissa Keung | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 10.5% | 80.4% |
| Colby Green | 11.7% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 37.2% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.