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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+3.90vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+5.01vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.69+1.69vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.74+3.94vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.51vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.54+2.58vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+2.92vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.48-0.35vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.74+1.36vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.11-1.02vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.22-5.80vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-0.10vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.06-7.41vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.18-5.12vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.41-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.01Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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4.69Georgetown University3.690.2%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.58North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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8.65College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.2Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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12.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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6.59SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.88Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| JC Hermus | 16.4% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Scott Harris | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 10.7% |
| Max Anker | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 32.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.