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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+3.80vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+2.60vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+4.02vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.35+4.13vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.74+5.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+4.01vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.85vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.18+0.60vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.48-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.11-1.11vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.06-5.39vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-0.11vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University2.54-5.76vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.74-7.21vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.41-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University3.690.2%1st Place
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7.02Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.14Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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6.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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8.66College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.61SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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8.24North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.79George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 17.0% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 12.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Max Anker | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Cutting | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 31.5% |
| Scott Harris | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.