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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+3.84vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.74+5.61vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+3.28vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.71vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.35+4.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+3.97vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.74+4.15vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18+1.54vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.22-2.98vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+0.98vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-4.00vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.48-3.35vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University2.54-4.66vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.69-9.48vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.41-2.70vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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6.71SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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7.0Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.65College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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8.34North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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4.52Georgetown University3.690.2%1st Place
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12.3University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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13.04St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 12.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Max Anker | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Scott Harris | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| JC Hermus | 16.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 22.9% |
| Hunter Cutting | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.