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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+3.49vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+3.94vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.48+5.52vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.74+3.73vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.18+4.66vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+0.32vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.94+0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.35+0.83vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University2.54-0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.11-0.08vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.52vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.59-7.10vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.68+0.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-3.26vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.74-3.84vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.41-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Georgetown University3.690.2%1st Place
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5.94Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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8.52College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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7.73George Washington University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.66Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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6.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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7.05Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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8.25North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.48SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.9Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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13.86St. Mary's College of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Anker | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Scott Harris | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 14.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Chitterling | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 49.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 9.7% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.