Race 8A

navy-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
JC Hermus 16.1% 16.8% 14.2% 11.1% 9.5% 8.0% 6.6% 5.5% 4.0% 3.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Cameron Giblin 7.5% 8.0% 9.5% 8.3% 7.0% 9.3% 7.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.0% 6.7% 5.5% 5.2% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Jake Vickers 9.1% 9.1% 8.4% 11.1% 9.0% 7.4% 9.2% 9.4% 7.2% 6.3% 5.2% 3.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Javier Garcon 2.8% 5.3% 4.4% 5.8% 5.3% 5.2% 6.6% 6.0% 6.9% 7.7% 8.9% 9.4% 8.8% 7.7% 6.4% 2.8%
Michael Ehnot 5.7% 6.0% 6.8% 6.3% 7.9% 7.3% 8.3% 6.6% 8.4% 8.2% 8.6% 6.9% 6.3% 4.3% 2.1% 0.3%
Noyl Odom 4.4% 1.9% 2.9% 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 7.4% 7.2% 5.6% 5.8% 9.1% 8.4% 9.1% 10.5% 7.4% 4.4%
Max Anker 5.1% 5.8% 5.0% 4.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.0% 6.4% 7.6% 8.3% 7.6% 8.6% 8.3% 6.5% 5.6% 1.9%
Jack Parkin 15.5% 14.5% 13.0% 9.5% 11.3% 8.8% 6.9% 7.0% 4.2% 3.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Connell Phillipps 3.6% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 4.7% 4.7% 4.5% 6.8% 7.4% 8.4% 7.6% 9.6% 10.0% 8.1% 8.9% 4.5%
Mariner Fagan 9.1% 8.8% 10.2% 10.2% 8.1% 11.5% 9.7% 7.5% 6.6% 5.4% 5.1% 3.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Benjamin Chitterling 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 3.4% 3.0% 4.2% 5.6% 8.5% 14.3% 49.3%
Benton Amthor 8.5% 9.6% 8.4% 9.5% 8.8% 7.6% 6.3% 8.4% 7.7% 7.7% 6.0% 3.9% 2.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Ted Bjerregaard 2.2% 2.3% 2.2% 2.9% 4.0% 2.8% 4.4% 4.7% 5.6% 6.9% 7.9% 7.4% 10.0% 13.7% 12.7% 10.3%
William Weinbecker 2.6% 2.0% 3.3% 2.5% 3.2% 4.4% 4.1% 6.2% 6.8% 5.2% 7.0% 9.6% 10.7% 11.1% 14.0% 7.3%
Scott Harris 5.5% 4.1% 4.9% 5.7% 6.8% 6.8% 7.4% 6.0% 9.4% 7.5% 7.2% 9.2% 8.2% 5.9% 4.4% 1.0%
Sherman Thompson 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 3.2% 5.2% 4.9% 8.3% 8.1% 14.9% 19.5% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.