Race 1B

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alexander Gestal 4.9% 7.7% 8.4% 11.5% 13.8% 17.4% 17.9% 12.7% 5.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Cameron Barclift 7.2% 8.2% 11.0% 13.1% 13.9% 16.2% 14.9% 11.1% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 27.2% 25.0% 19.9% 13.0% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Lamont 7.7% 9.0% 10.9% 14.7% 15.9% 14.6% 16.2% 8.3% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 6.2% 6.7% 8.9% 10.4% 12.4% 14.6% 16.9% 15.6% 7.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Connor Needham 24.9% 22.4% 19.0% 13.5% 8.4% 7.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 17.4% 16.7% 16.7% 14.3% 16.6% 9.4% 5.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Mende 2.5% 2.3% 2.6% 6.1% 7.0% 10.5% 13.8% 26.2% 24.2% 4.7% 0.1%
Omar Abudayyeh 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 3.0% 2.9% 5.0% 8.6% 18.5% 45.1% 10.7% 0.4%
Cassie Morello 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 1.9% 3.2% 8.9% 75.5% 8.5%
Lillian Nelson 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 7.6% 91.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.