Race 11A

navy-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
JC Hermus 16.3% 14.6% 14.9% 12.4% 9.9% 8.1% 5.9% 5.3% 5.2% 2.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ted Bjerregaard 1.8% 3.1% 2.8% 2.5% 4.7% 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 4.9% 5.9% 6.1% 8.1% 9.5% 11.6% 13.0% 13.8%
Jack Parkin 15.0% 11.8% 12.3% 10.4% 11.0% 10.0% 8.6% 7.6% 4.1% 3.3% 2.2% 1.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Javier Garcon 3.5% 5.0% 5.4% 4.2% 6.0% 4.6% 5.4% 6.6% 6.2% 8.7% 8.5% 9.1% 7.6% 9.5% 5.9% 3.8%
Cameron Giblin 6.9% 8.2% 6.8% 8.4% 8.0% 8.4% 9.1% 7.1% 8.1% 7.6% 6.9% 5.4% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Max Anker 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 7.5% 5.8% 6.1% 7.5% 6.8% 7.9% 7.7% 7.7% 7.2% 8.0% 6.2% 5.3% 2.9%
William Weinbecker 2.9% 2.9% 2.5% 3.6% 3.3% 3.7% 2.9% 4.2% 5.8% 5.6% 6.2% 9.4% 10.2% 12.0% 13.2% 11.6%
Connell Phillipps 3.4% 4.6% 2.8% 3.3% 5.4% 5.6% 5.0% 5.7% 6.9% 7.5% 7.9% 8.8% 9.4% 10.0% 8.8% 4.9%
Jake Vickers 9.5% 9.5% 8.9% 8.8% 10.0% 9.6% 7.5% 8.1% 7.3% 5.0% 5.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Michael Ehnot 5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 6.3% 5.9% 6.9% 9.3% 8.3% 7.6% 8.9% 9.0% 6.6% 4.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.9%
Scott Harris 5.6% 6.1% 5.2% 5.3% 6.9% 6.0% 6.3% 7.1% 7.9% 7.5% 7.8% 7.9% 8.7% 6.2% 4.0% 1.5%
Mariner Fagan 10.5% 8.4% 11.7% 10.5% 7.3% 8.5% 8.1% 7.0% 6.2% 7.8% 5.0% 3.6% 2.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.4%
Hunter Cutting 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 2.3% 3.0% 3.4% 3.6% 5.4% 5.6% 7.4% 11.7% 16.2% 32.2%
Benton Amthor 8.8% 8.4% 8.6% 10.3% 7.7% 8.2% 9.0% 9.0% 7.6% 5.7% 5.0% 4.6% 3.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Sherman Thompson 2.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 3.7% 4.2% 3.7% 6.5% 7.2% 9.6% 10.1% 17.6% 23.5%
Noyl Odom 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 3.7% 4.0% 5.2% 6.3% 6.4% 6.7% 8.6% 8.3% 9.7% 9.2% 8.4% 9.3% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.