← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.59+3.79vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.74+9.00vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.61vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.69+0.73vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.22+1.03vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.94+1.08vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.74+0.78vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.18+1.52vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.11+0.85vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston2.48-1.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania2.35-1.94vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-5.68vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-2.10vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan1.41-1.86vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-1.98vs Predicted
-
16North Carolina State University2.54-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.79Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
-
11.0Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
6.61SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
4.73Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
6.03Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
-
7.08Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
7.78George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
-
9.52Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
9.85University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
8.7College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
-
9.06University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
10.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
-
12.14University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
-
13.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
-
8.47North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| JC Hermus | 14.5% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Max Anker | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| William Weinbecker | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 10.8% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 22.8% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 34.2% |
| Scott Harris | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.