Race 1B

navy-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Charlie Anderson 7.5% 8.3% 8.3% 7.2% 8.0% 8.7% 6.5% 7.6% 6.1% 6.7% 6.1% 6.7% 4.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.4%
Wiley Rogers 14.5% 14.1% 11.1% 11.7% 7.2% 9.0% 7.8% 5.5% 5.5% 4.3% 3.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Christopher Sharpless 5.2% 5.1% 4.1% 6.2% 4.8% 5.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.8% 6.7% 8.1% 7.7% 7.7% 8.3% 6.5% 3.5%
Cameron Feves 7.6% 10.4% 7.3% 9.1% 9.0% 7.4% 7.7% 7.5% 6.4% 6.7% 5.6% 5.4% 4.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Nicholas Sessions 4.5% 3.5% 5.5% 5.4% 5.8% 5.3% 8.0% 5.9% 5.8% 7.3% 7.6% 7.9% 8.1% 7.5% 7.5% 4.4%
Diego Escobar 7.1% 7.8% 9.4% 9.0% 7.2% 8.0% 7.4% 8.1% 6.6% 5.3% 5.7% 6.2% 4.5% 3.9% 2.8% 1.0%
Brandon Geller 11.8% 7.7% 10.9% 8.2% 9.8% 7.2% 7.2% 8.7% 6.4% 5.9% 5.3% 3.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Gray Benson 7.7% 10.0% 7.6% 7.3% 6.6% 9.0% 7.4% 7.3% 7.4% 6.8% 6.5% 4.3% 5.1% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0%
Nick Chisari 5.3% 6.7% 6.5% 4.6% 7.4% 6.2% 6.9% 7.9% 8.3% 6.8% 6.0% 8.1% 5.0% 6.4% 4.2% 3.7%
Joe Serpa 2.0% 2.4% 3.1% 1.4% 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% 6.5% 7.3% 9.2% 17.7% 28.2%
Asher Zittrer 6.9% 6.1% 4.1% 7.9% 6.9% 5.8% 5.8% 7.2% 6.9% 8.1% 7.6% 7.2% 6.6% 6.5% 3.8% 2.6%
Adrian van der Wal 6.9% 7.0% 6.6% 7.9% 8.4% 6.8% 7.1% 5.4% 7.3% 6.3% 7.3% 5.5% 6.7% 5.4% 3.1% 2.3%
Hogan O'Donnell 2.0% 1.7% 3.1% 3.1% 4.0% 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 5.4% 5.1% 5.9% 6.7% 9.3% 11.7% 13.2% 18.3%
Lars Osell 3.6% 2.8% 3.4% 3.6% 3.2% 5.1% 5.0% 4.9% 6.3% 5.4% 7.6% 8.2% 7.9% 10.4% 10.5% 12.1%
Nicholas Salvesen 2.8% 2.1% 3.0% 2.0% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.7% 4.4% 6.0% 5.9% 6.3% 8.4% 10.8% 15.5% 18.1%
Andrew Ciszewski 4.6% 4.3% 6.0% 5.4% 6.4% 6.1% 6.4% 7.1% 6.6% 8.5% 6.5% 7.4% 9.2% 6.1% 6.9% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.