Race 2B

navy-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Brandon Geller 10.2% 11.3% 10.9% 9.4% 8.7% 8.8% 6.9% 7.7% 5.7% 5.2% 5.4% 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 1.5% 0.5%
Adrian van der Wal 6.5% 8.7% 6.4% 8.7% 6.5% 6.3% 8.6% 6.0% 6.8% 6.5% 6.8% 6.5% 5.5% 4.6% 3.9% 1.7%
Wiley Rogers 15.7% 10.3% 13.1% 10.1% 8.5% 9.6% 9.4% 7.4% 4.6% 4.5% 2.3% 1.4% 1.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3%
Asher Zittrer 4.2% 7.6% 6.3% 6.4% 6.4% 6.0% 6.5% 5.8% 8.0% 6.9% 7.4% 6.8% 7.9% 6.7% 5.0% 2.1%
Cameron Feves 9.1% 8.3% 8.5% 7.9% 8.3% 9.7% 8.0% 5.7% 7.3% 6.5% 6.0% 6.2% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.6%
Nicholas Salvesen 2.7% 1.1% 2.6% 2.5% 4.5% 3.4% 4.1% 5.5% 4.6% 6.0% 5.4% 5.7% 8.7% 10.1% 14.3% 18.8%
Andrew Ciszewski 5.4% 5.9% 4.6% 5.7% 4.5% 6.0% 6.7% 6.4% 7.2% 7.2% 6.5% 7.6% 8.0% 7.2% 7.3% 3.8%
Nicholas Sessions 4.8% 6.0% 4.4% 5.8% 5.9% 5.2% 5.1% 6.8% 7.3% 6.5% 7.6% 7.2% 10.0% 6.8% 6.6% 4.0%
Charlie Anderson 7.8% 7.9% 7.8% 6.4% 9.1% 8.2% 7.2% 7.9% 6.4% 6.9% 6.6% 5.1% 4.4% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6%
Lars Osell 3.3% 3.9% 2.9% 2.6% 3.8% 3.9% 4.1% 4.4% 5.4% 5.2% 6.8% 8.7% 9.5% 12.5% 11.3% 11.7%
Gray Benson 8.1% 7.8% 8.2% 7.5% 7.1% 6.8% 8.1% 7.3% 7.7% 6.4% 8.1% 5.4% 4.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8%
Diego Escobar 8.0% 7.7% 9.2% 9.6% 7.7% 6.8% 6.1% 6.6% 7.4% 6.7% 7.0% 5.1% 5.2% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9%
Hogan O'Donnell 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 3.4% 3.0% 5.3% 4.5% 5.1% 6.6% 7.0% 8.1% 11.0% 13.7% 18.6%
Christopher Sharpless 5.8% 4.2% 4.3% 5.8% 7.1% 6.5% 5.7% 6.8% 7.4% 7.5% 6.2% 8.4% 7.1% 7.5% 5.7% 4.0%
Nick Chisari 5.3% 5.1% 6.1% 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 7.2% 7.5% 6.5% 7.5% 6.7% 8.2% 6.8% 7.1% 4.7% 2.5%
Joe Serpa 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 2.9% 3.2% 5.4% 4.6% 6.3% 6.2% 11.5% 17.1% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.