Race 2B

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Laura Cuccio 4.8% 5.1% 9.1% 10.7% 12.6% 17.3% 18.4% 14.7% 6.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 30.2% 24.7% 17.5% 12.0% 8.9% 5.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Needham 21.5% 22.5% 20.4% 14.2% 11.3% 6.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Mende 1.7% 2.4% 3.7% 4.2% 6.7% 7.3% 12.9% 25.9% 30.4% 4.7% 0.1%
Cameron Fraser 15.5% 16.6% 15.6% 15.7% 14.0% 10.8% 7.0% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Gestal 7.0% 7.3% 9.2% 12.1% 13.3% 16.5% 16.5% 11.5% 6.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Cameron Barclift 8.0% 9.8% 12.0% 13.5% 14.4% 13.7% 13.7% 10.0% 4.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Omar Abudayyeh 1.9% 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 4.0% 5.9% 11.3% 20.5% 41.3% 8.8% 0.3%
Ben Lamont 9.1% 10.4% 10.2% 14.4% 14.2% 16.2% 14.1% 8.3% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Cassie Morello 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.9% 3.6% 7.3% 76.7% 8.5%
Lillian Nelson 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 7.9% 91.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.